Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Weidman's Picks, Week 3

Okay...I took a bath last week. I went for some dogs and took some gut risks. This week's picks will be a bit more conservative.

San Fran at Cincinnati
Two not so great teams meeting up in this match, so I don't expect much. Both lost last week, so there's not even that much to look for an edge there. Call it Cincy by a hair.

New England at Buffalo
Buffalo put on a great show last week with a tight come-from-behind win against Oakland. That being said, I'm still not ready to bet against Brady.

Houston at NOLA
Houston is coming on strong with a perfect record so far, while New Orleans is 1-and-1. However, who have they beaten? A disorganized Indianapolis and a mediocre Miami. On the other hand, the Saints beat the Bears and lost to Green Bay in a slugfest. I see NOLA coming out on top in this one.

Giants at Philly
The big question on this game is, "is Vick going to play." If he does, then the Eagles will win. If he doesn't...well, the Eagles are probably still going to win. Philly has won the last 6 meetings between the teams, making this a safe bet. The Giants are going to come angry, but I still think Philly is the better team.

Cleveland vs Miami
Ugh. Another crappy match-up. Cleveland is tied up, whereas Miami is winless. I don't see much out of either team this season, but Cleveland should come out ahead this week.

Denver at Tennessee
Again, Homer Simpson owned the Broncos, and Tennessee beat the Ravens. This isn't too tough of a call.

Detroit vs Minnesota
I really can't believe that I'm saying this...man, this hurts...but Detroit is the better team. 2-0 vs 0-2? Come on. McNabb is lost, and Stafford is looking good. Difficulty: Stafford is my fantasy QB.

Jacksonville at Carolina
Historically, I've thought a lot of the Jags, but they've been struggling this season - and three points against the Jets last week. Panthers.

Kansas City at San Diego
The Chargers lost last week, but to the Pats, and they put up a hell of a fight against them, whereas the Chiefs have put up 10 points all season.

Jets vs Oakland
This is a coin-flip game for me. Both teams are playing strong, and the Raiders lost a tough one last week. Are they going to bring extra this week to make up for it, or fold in shame? I know that the Jets are favored, but...I think that Oakland might pull this out.

Baltimore at St. Louis
I think that the Ravens are playing the part of a pendulum. They kicked the ever-living shit out of us, then got cocky and lost to the Titans. This week, they're going to swing back towards the other side and beat the Rams. Maybe not as much as they did to us, but win they will.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay
I really, really didn't see ATL beating Philly last week, but they did. Tampa Bay is looking good, but the teams are evenly matched. I bet against the Falcons last week in a tight matchup and got burned - I'm not going to do that again this week.

Arizona at Seattle
Steelers West, all the way. Seattle's got nothing this season.

Green Bay at Chicago
Can anyone beat GB this year? Probably, but I don't think it's gonna be the Bears.

Pittsburgh at Indy
Okay...we didn't show up week one, and we dominated week two. A lot of what they say about the Steelers is true: We're old, we're slow and we're unpredictable. On the other hand, we're still the Steelers, and Indy is proving that, without Manning, they have no clue what they're doing.

Washington at Dallas
This is a tough call. Washington has looked good, but it's MNF - that's a lot of pressure on a new (to the team) QB, and Dallas just looks better.

Cincinnati over San Fran
New England over Buffalo
Philly over Giants
NOLA over Houston
Cleveland over Miami
Tennessee over Denver
Detroit over Minnesota
Carolina over Jacksonville
San Diego over Kansas City
Oakland over Jets
Baltimore over St. Louis
Atlanta over Tampa Bay
Arizona over Seattle
Green Bay over Chicago
Pittsburgh over Indy
Dallas over Washington

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