(Click here to see current Pick Em standings, week-by-week and YTD.)
Had a solid week last week and went 1-0 in swing games, expanding my lead over the increasingly sage Weidman.
This week's games frighten and confuse me, so I'm sure to go 16-0.
Philadelphia over Seattle:
I know the Eagles got crushed by the Pats last week and they're on the road on the west coast without Mike Vick and Jeremy Maclin on four days rest in a tough place to play. Wait. Those are all pretty compelling reasons to take the Hawks. But, Seattle can't exploit Philly's weaknesses on defense and the Eagles will be able to score points. Plus, they've got Vince Young. All Young does is win football games. That's all he do. He was Tebow before Tebow was Tebow.
Carolina at Tampa:
The Bucs can't stop the run, but the Panthers can't run the ball unless it's Cam Newton running it. Still off the Carolina bandwagon and Tampa's at home. That's a sneaky line, though, with the Bucs favored by 3.5. I think they win by a field goal, but not four or more.
Cincinnati at Steelers:
Hey, look at that! It's another weird line (Steelers by 6.5). I don't think they win by a touchdown, but Steeler Nation is probably moving the money in their direction. Steelers already beat the Bengals and I don't think the Might Ginger wins this game on the road. He's done exceptionally well on the road, but I just don't see it.
Atlanta at Houston:
When I was thinking about this write-up, I thought the game was in Atlanta. I thought, "The Falcons are tough at home. If that game was in Houston, I'd take the Texans." That's as good a reason as any to welcome in the TJ Yates Era.
NY Jets at Washington:
More of a vote of no confidence in the Redskins than a vote of confidence for the Jets. This is about the time of year when they wake up and realize that you don't automatically make the playoffs just because you think you're awesome... then they turn it on. That starts here. Hopefully for Santonio Holmes, especially, because I have a must-win fantasy game this week.
Indianapolis at New England:
Interesting note: Dan Orlovsky and Ernie Sims were both on the Detroit team that went 0-16 and they're both on the Colts this year. Another interesting note: Indy is horrible and the Pats aren't, so Tom Brady and company roll.
Oakland at Miami:
The Dolphins are on a roll of sorts, the Raiders are headed in the other direction, Darren McFadden probably still won't be available, and they have no healthy receivers. Plus which, I'm picking like 38 road teams this week, so I need to even things out.
Denver at Minnesota:
FOOTBALL JESUS PARTS THE TWIN CITIES.
Tennessee at Buffalo:
Buffalo lost their ninth starter to injured reserve this week and can't stop the run. Chris Johnson and Javon Ringer are good players. Somehow, the Bills are favored. Something to keep in mind.
Kansas City at Chicago:
The Bears bandwagon is looking awfully desolate at this point, so I'm thinking about jumping off. However, the only thing more awful than Chicago's bandwagon is the Chiefs offense. Unless Kyle Orton and Thomas Jones go all Chad Brown on their former team -- which I don't think happens -- the Bears are going to win this one pretty easy.
Baltimore at Cleveland:
Hated Ravens are well-rested after a dominant Thanksgiving night performance against the 49ers. They know they need to win to stay in the hunt. Aside from playing spoiler, the Browns don't have much going for them.
Dallas at Arizona:
If the Cowboys remember to not kick to Patrick Peterson, they'll be just fine. Steelers West still has an atrocious secondary and Tony Romo, Dez Bryant, and Jason Witten are pretty good.
Green Bay at NY Giants:
Interesting note: Green Bay is a rolling juggernaut and, even if I picked against them, you shouldn't. Keep picking them until they lose. Or until the wrap up the first seed and Mike McCarthy decides to rest the starters. Whichever comes first.
St. Louis at San Francisco:
John Harbaugh's brother is going to have his guys ready to go and fired up. Also, the Rams may secretly be trying to be a worse team than the Colts, if that's possible. Unfortunately for them, it isn't.
Detroit at NOLA:
Did anyone watch the game on Monday night? I sure didn't, but I did notice that the Saints averaged 8.3 yards per play. Every time they snapped the ball, 8.3 yards. I am super glad I dropped Detroit's defense.
San Diego at Jacksonville:
Jaguars owner Wayne Weaver announced that he fired coach Jack Del Rio and plans to sell the team. I'm... thinking they'll be a little distracted. Also, Blaine "That's a Major Appliance, That's Not a Name" Gabbert.
Line of the Week:
Baltimore (-6.5 over Cleveland). Hated Ravens win by at least a touchdown. I don't care that this game is in Cleveland. It could be in Paul Brown's private suite in heaven and Baltimore would still win by a touchdown.
Moneyline of the Week:
Texans (+127) are underdogs at home, but I can't pin my Moneyline of the Week on a rookie quarterback named after a William Shatner character. I'm gonna go Tennessee (+115) over Buffalo.
Over/Under of the Week:
Kansas City at Chicago (37.5). New quarterback + backup quarterback + Chicago in December = UNDER.
Philly over Seattle
Tampa over Carolina
Steelers over Cincinnati
Houston over Atlanta
NY Jets over Washington
New England over Indianapolis
Miami over Oakland
Denver over Minnesota
Tennessee over Buffalo
Chicago over Kansas City
Baltimore over Cleveland
Dallas over Arizona
Green Bay over NY Giants
San Francisco over St. Louis
NOLA over Detroit
San Diego over Jacksonville
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